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FLA
4-3
BUF
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
FLA xG1.02
BUF xG0.87
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
FLA Win%98.6
BUF Win%1.4
2 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
FLA Deserve55.5%
BUF Deserve44.5%
FLA Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
50.4%Possession49.6%
32Shots on Goal23
48.3%Faceoff Win %51.7%
18Hits22
20Blocked Shots14
6Takeaways4
12Giveaways24
9Penalty Minutes7




















