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TBL
2-1
PIT
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
TBL xG1.01
PIT xG1.08
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
TBL Win%100.0
PIT Win%0.0
5 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
TBL Deserve47.2%
PIT Deserve52.8%
PIT Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
48.3%Possession51.7%
34Shots on Goal29
43.2%Faceoff Win %56.8%
15Hits13
16Blocked Shots9
4Takeaways9
18Giveaways15
33Penalty Minutes14



















