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CGY
3-5
CBJ
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
CGY xG1.02
CBJ xG1.03
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
CGY Win%0.4
CBJ Win%99.6
3 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
CGY Deserve45.5%
CBJ Deserve54.5%
CBJ Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
41.8%Possession58.2%
32Shots on Goal43
44.6%Faceoff Win %55.4%
12Hits21
16Blocked Shots12
5Takeaways3
17Giveaways14
13Penalty Minutes11





















