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TOR
1-6
UTA
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
TOR xG0.66
UTA xG1.68
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
TOR Win%0.4
UTA Win%99.6
2 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
TOR Deserve39.5%
UTA Deserve60.5%
UTA Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
40.6%Possession59.4%
20Shots on Goal41
43.8%Faceoff Win %56.3%
21Hits21
16Blocked Shots22
5Takeaways5
17Giveaways14
6Penalty Minutes8






















