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PHI
2-5
BUF
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
PHI xG0.80
BUF xG0.71
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
PHI Win%0.4
BUF Win%99.6
1 Spike
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
PHI Deserve48.7%
BUF Deserve51.3%
BUF Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
55.4%Possession44.6%
22Shots on Goal15
52.5%Faceoff Win %47.5%
26Hits27
11Blocked Shots9
2Takeaways5
5Giveaways18
12Penalty Minutes10





















