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OTT
8-4
NYR
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
OTT xG1.04
NYR xG0.57
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
OTT Win%99.6
NYR Win%0.4
1 Spike
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
OTT Deserve57.8%
NYR Deserve42.2%
OTT Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
52.7%Possession47.3%
30Shots on Goal22
34.0%Faceoff Win %66.0%
13Hits38
21Blocked Shots16
3Takeaways6
12Giveaways24
2Penalty Minutes6




















