MTL
3-5
BUF
Final
xG Story-Flow

Momentum Graph

MTL xG0.71
BUF xG0.74
BUF
Home
Away
MTL
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression

Chance To Win

Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%

MTL Win%0.4
BUF Win%99.6
3 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles

Deserve-To-Win

Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".

MTL Deserve45.4%
BUF Deserve54.6%
BUF Merit Lead
Positional Density

Shot Distribution

MTLBUF
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)

Team Dominance

MTL
MTL
Matchup
BUF
BUF
54.0%Possession46.0%
23Shots on Goal27
58.9%Faceoff Win %41.1%
26Hits21
7Blocked Shots18
4Takeaways6
14Giveaways15
12Penalty Minutes10

Live Feed

3P • 18:20Goal

T. Thompson

Assists: Z. Benson

wrist
3P • 05:12Goal

T. Thompson

Assists: J. Doan

snap
2P • 08:55Goal

A. Tuch

Assists: T. Thompson, R. Dahlin

snap
2P • 03:05Goal

N. Suzuki

Assists: L. Hutson, C. Caufield

snap
1P • 14:20Goal

I. Demidov

Assists: L. Hutson, N. Suzuki

slap
1P • 10:30Goal

J. Doan

Assists: T. Thompson, N. Ostlund

wrist
1P • 04:05Goal

T. Thompson

Assists: N. Ostlund, J. Zucker

snap
1P • 03:11Goal

C. Caufield

Assists: N. Dobson

wrist
Player ProfileGAPTS+/-PIMSOGHITSBLKSTOI
B. GallagherR
000023010:58
C. CaufieldR
112-105019:17
N. SuzukiC
112-102022:17
J. AndersonR
000-100113:27
J. SlafkovskýL
000-101118:14
P. DanaultC
000-220314:58
S. BlaisL
000002407:29
Z. BolducR
000-100512:04
A. TexierL
000003113:45
J. VelenoC
000000311:12
O. KapanenC
000023016:02
I. DemidovR
101-103016:10
M. MathesonD
000020122:32
K. GuhleD
000020114:56
A. CarrierD
000-100021:00
L. HutsonD
022-121025:55
N. DobsonD
011-100021:39
A. XhekajD
000000610:29