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PHI
3-6
PIT
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
PHI xG1.42
PIT xG1.05
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
PHI Win%0.4
PIT Win%99.6
1 Spike
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
PHI Deserve47.3%
PIT Deserve52.7%
PIT Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
52.3%Possession47.7%
34Shots on Goal30
47.2%Faceoff Win %52.8%
22Hits20
16Blocked Shots11
3Takeaways7
11Giveaways14
13Penalty Minutes13























