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VAN
1-4
CBJ
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
VAN xG0.98
CBJ xG1.38
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
VAN Win%0.4
CBJ Win%99.6
1 Spike
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
VAN Deserve40.6%
CBJ Deserve59.4%
CBJ Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
44.9%Possession55.1%
31Shots on Goal36
52.9%Faceoff Win %47.1%
11Hits19
17Blocked Shots20
6Takeaways6
18Giveaways10
4Penalty Minutes4





















