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CGY
3-1
CHI
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
CGY xG0.74
CHI xG0.82
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
CGY Win%99.6
CHI Win%0.4
3 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
CGY Deserve53.6%
CHI Deserve46.4%
CGY Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
44.0%Possession56.0%
23Shots on Goal23
45.6%Faceoff Win %54.4%
29Hits11
21Blocked Shots12
4Takeaways7
18Giveaways18
19Penalty Minutes17


















