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TOR
5-6
VGK
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
TOR xG0.68
VGK xG0.89
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
TOR Win%0.0
VGK Win%100.0
6 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
TOR Deserve46.8%
VGK Deserve53.2%
VGK Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
46.6%Possession53.4%
28Shots on Goal33
62.3%Faceoff Win %37.7%
17Hits18
15Blocked Shots15
5Takeaways4
18Giveaways13
6Penalty Minutes2






















