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FLA
1-9
CAR
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
FLA xG0.58
CAR xG1.29
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
FLA Win%0.4
CAR Win%99.6
1 Spike
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
FLA Deserve36.7%
CAR Deserve63.3%
CAR Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
41.6%Possession58.4%
16Shots on Goal36
34.5%Faceoff Win %65.5%
19Hits30
8Blocked Shots15
5Takeaways8
16Giveaways20
29Penalty Minutes19























