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TBL
2-3
STL
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
TBL xG1.00
STL xG0.58
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
TBL Win%0.0
STL Win%100.0
2 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
TBL Deserve46.7%
STL Deserve53.3%
STL Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
62.8%Possession37.2%
39Shots on Goal23
53.8%Faceoff Win %46.2%
12Hits24
11Blocked Shots10
3Takeaways8
18Giveaways12
4Penalty Minutes6




















