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MIN
5-4
BUF
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
MIN xG1.26
BUF xG0.81
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
MIN Win%100.0
BUF Win%0.0
6 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
MIN Deserve55.6%
BUF Deserve44.4%
MIN Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
50.4%Possession49.6%
36Shots on Goal24
55.2%Faceoff Win %44.8%
31Hits21
20Blocked Shots10
6Takeaways3
11Giveaways10
15Penalty Minutes15
Live Feed
4P • 01:46Goal
M. Zuccarello
Assists: K. Kaprizov, F. Gustavsson
snap
2P • 17:04Goal
Q. Hughes
Assists: K. Kaprizov, M. Zuccarello
slap
2P • 16:07Goal
A. Tuch
Assists: T. Thompson, R. McLeod
wrist
2P • 11:34Goal
J. Quinn
Assists: R. Dahlin, J. Zucker
wrist
2P • 10:07Goal
P. Krebs
Assists: M. Samuelsson
tip-in
2P • 01:08Goal
V. Tarasenko
Assists: J. Spurgeon, D. Yurov
wrist
1P • 19:52Goal
R. Hartman
Assists: Q. Hughes, K. Kaprizov
tip-in
1P • 10:05Goal
R. McLeod
Assists: J. Quinn, J. Zucker
deflected
1P • 09:19Goal
M. Foligno
Assists: V. Tarasenko, B. Jones
snap
| Player Profile | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | SOG | HITS | BLKS | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Y. TreninC | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 15:33 | |
M. FolignoL | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 14:25 | |
 V. HinostrozaC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 12:28 | |
 T. PitlickC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 06:08 | |
 D. YurovR | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16:27 | |
M. ZuccarelloR | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 25:35 | |
 H. HaightC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 08:06 | |
R. HartmanR | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 22:10 | |
 B. JonesC | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 08:54 | |
 N. SturmC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10:55 | |
V. TarasenkoR | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 15:55 | |
 K. KaprizovL | 0 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 24:28 | |
 J. MiddletonD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 21:17 | |
 B. FaberD | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 28:41 | |
Q. HughesD | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 29:52 | |
 J. SpurgeonD | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 16:16 | |
 D. HuntD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:36 | |
 D.JiricekD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 09:12 |