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MTL
6-5
OTT
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
MTL xG0.83
OTT xG1.44
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
MTL Win%100.0
OTT Win%0.0
8 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
MTL Deserve51.3%
OTT Deserve48.7%
MTL Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
48.0%Possession52.0%
19Shots on Goal34
53.3%Faceoff Win %46.7%
28Hits26
16Blocked Shots26
5Takeaways5
14Giveaways16
8Penalty Minutes12






















