Back

CAR
4-1
NJD
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
CAR xG1.24
NJD xG0.76
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
CAR Win%99.6
NJD Win%0.4
4 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
CAR Deserve58.3%
NJD Deserve41.7%
CAR Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
52.9%Possession47.1%
35Shots on Goal30
44.1%Faceoff Win %55.9%
20Hits22
16Blocked Shots12
9Takeaways2
9Giveaways19
8Penalty Minutes2


















