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FLA
5-2
WSH
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
FLA xG1.30
WSH xG0.93
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
FLA Win%99.6
WSH Win%0.4
3 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
FLA Deserve59.6%
WSH Deserve40.4%
FLA Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
48.4%Possession51.6%
31Shots on Goal24
41.1%Faceoff Win %58.9%
22Hits30
19Blocked Shots10
9Takeaways2
15Giveaways20
4Penalty Minutes6


















