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NSH
2-7
VGK
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
NSH xG0.88
VGK xG0.93
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
NSH Win%0.4
VGK Win%99.6
2 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
NSH Deserve46.2%
VGK Deserve53.8%
VGK Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
49.2%Possession50.8%
29Shots on Goal36
52.4%Faceoff Win %47.6%
14Hits25
17Blocked Shots17
7Takeaways4
16Giveaways20
4Penalty Minutes8
























