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TBL
4-1
DAL
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
TBL xG1.13
DAL xG0.72
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
TBL Win%99.6
DAL Win%0.4
2 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
TBL Deserve54.9%
DAL Deserve45.1%
TBL Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
57.6%Possession42.4%
26Shots on Goal20
39.6%Faceoff Win %60.4%
21Hits16
16Blocked Shots16
6Takeaways3
17Giveaways13
6Penalty Minutes6


















