Back
BUF
1-2
CAR
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
BUF xG0.75
CAR xG0.67
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
BUF Win%1.6
CAR Win%98.4
1 Spike
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
BUF Deserve44.5%
CAR Deserve55.5%
CAR Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
47.7%Possession52.3%
18Shots on Goal29
45.8%Faceoff Win %54.2%
25Hits23
6Blocked Shots12
6Takeaways7
20Giveaways17
8Penalty Minutes6
Live Feed
3P • 02:10Goal
S. Jarvis
Assists: A. Svechnikov, S. Aho
wrist
1P • 07:04Goal
A. Svechnikov
Assists: S. Aho, S. Walker
tip-in
1P • 01:33Goal
R. Dahlin
Assists: J. Quinn, J. Zucker
snap
| Player Profile | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | SOG | HITS | BLKS | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Z. BensonL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17:07 | |
 J. ZuckerL | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:59 | |
 P. KrebsC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11:04 | |
 J. QuinnR | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:31 | |
 B. MalenstynL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10:23 | |
 T. KozakC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10:28 | |
 R. McLeodC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 14:44 | |
 T. ThompsonC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 22:47 | |
 N. OstlundC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:23 | |
 A. TuchR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:55 | |
 J. DoanR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:30 | |
 K. HeleniusC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:47 | |
 B. ByramD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 25:01 | |
 M. SamuelssonD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 27:33 | |
 O. PowerD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 22:07 | |
R. DahlinD | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 25:03 | |
 Z. MetsaD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 08:41 | |
 J. BrysonD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 08:00 |