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PHI
2-1
VGK
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
PHI xG0.64
VGK xG1.36
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
PHI Win%94.3
VGK Win%5.7
3 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
PHI Deserve40.8%
VGK Deserve59.2%
VGK Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
53.3%Possession46.7%
17Shots on Goal25
62.5%Faceoff Win %37.5%
15Hits23
13Blocked Shots21
3Takeaways7
18Giveaways13
14Penalty Minutes4


















