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NYR
3-5
ANA
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
NYR xG1.17
ANA xG0.79
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
NYR Win%0.4
ANA Win%99.6
3 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
NYR Deserve48.3%
ANA Deserve51.7%
ANA Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
50.0%Possession50.0%
22Shots on Goal26
53.6%Faceoff Win %46.4%
20Hits29
14Blocked Shots15
5Takeaways7
18Giveaways20
6Penalty Minutes8





















