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OTT
4-1
CBJ
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
OTT xG0.66
CBJ xG0.73
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
OTT Win%99.6
CBJ Win%0.4
2 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
OTT Deserve56.1%
CBJ Deserve43.9%
OTT Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
52.5%Possession47.5%
21Shots on Goal22
59.6%Faceoff Win %40.4%
15Hits27
13Blocked Shots16
6Takeaways3
16Giveaways19
8Penalty Minutes8


















