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BUF
5-3
NSH
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
BUF xG0.54
NSH xG1.18
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
BUF Win%100.0
NSH Win%0.0
1 Spike
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
BUF Deserve44.6%
NSH Deserve55.4%
NSH Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
45.4%Possession54.6%
33Shots on Goal34
45.0%Faceoff Win %55.0%
17Hits27
8Blocked Shots20
4Takeaways6
15Giveaways10
6Penalty Minutes4



















