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PIT
4-1
CGY
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
PIT xG0.79
CGY xG0.74
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
PIT Win%99.6
CGY Win%0.4
3 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
PIT Deserve53.3%
CGY Deserve46.7%
PIT Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
54.0%Possession46.0%
25Shots on Goal19
43.6%Faceoff Win %56.4%
17Hits24
12Blocked Shots19
6Takeaways3
16Giveaways16
2Penalty Minutes2


















