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CHI
4-3
CAR
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
CHI xG0.65
CAR xG1.55
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
CHI Win%100.0
CAR Win%0.0
6 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
CHI Deserve42.7%
CAR Deserve57.3%
CAR Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
46.3%Possession53.7%
28Shots on Goal35
35.0%Faceoff Win %65.0%
22Hits29
6Blocked Shots18
6Takeaways4
11Giveaways13
15Penalty Minutes7





















