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DAL
0-1
CBJ
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
DAL xG0.97
CBJ xG0.41
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
DAL Win%40.4
CBJ Win%59.6
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
DAL Deserve50.1%
CBJ Deserve49.9%
DAL Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
49.5%Possession50.5%
28Shots on Goal22
49.1%Faceoff Win %50.9%
7Hits35
18Blocked Shots10
5Takeaways4
14Giveaways14
2Penalty Minutes4


















