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STL
2-3
DAL
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
STL xG0.61
DAL xG0.63
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
STL Win%2.2
DAL Win%97.8
3 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
STL Deserve49.0%
DAL Deserve51.0%
DAL Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
46.6%Possession53.4%
22Shots on Goal19
40.4%Faceoff Win %59.6%
26Hits16
16Blocked Shots12
8Takeaways5
9Giveaways12
10Penalty Minutes6




















