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NJD
5-4
VAN
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
NJD xG0.90
VAN xG0.93
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
NJD Win%97.6
VAN Win%2.4
5 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
NJD Deserve53.6%
VAN Deserve46.4%
NJD Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
49.1%Possession50.9%
24Shots on Goal25
52.1%Faceoff Win %47.9%
17Hits19
17Blocked Shots15
2Takeaways5
11Giveaways18
4Penalty Minutes6





















