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NYR
1-3
SJS
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
NYR xG0.95
SJS xG1.24
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
NYR Win%0.4
SJS Win%99.6
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
NYR Deserve44.5%
SJS Deserve55.5%
SJS Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
45.7%Possession54.3%
29Shots on Goal32
56.9%Faceoff Win %43.1%
18Hits14
19Blocked Shots11
3Takeaways5
13Giveaways16
14Penalty Minutes4



















