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BUF
5-0
NYI
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
BUF xG0.65
NYI xG0.88
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
BUF Win%99.6
NYI Win%0.4
1 Spike
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
BUF Deserve55.4%
NYI Deserve44.6%
BUF Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
45.0%Possession55.0%
21Shots on Goal26
26.0%Faceoff Win %74.0%
16Hits24
14Blocked Shots13
7Takeaways5
14Giveaways16
8Penalty Minutes6

















