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MTL
3-4
BOS
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
MTL xG0.97
BOS xG0.86
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
MTL Win%11.4
BOS Win%88.6
4 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
MTL Deserve48.8%
BOS Deserve51.2%
BOS Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
49.1%Possession50.9%
25Shots on Goal20
49.2%Faceoff Win %50.8%
16Hits21
15Blocked Shots11
6Takeaways2
18Giveaways17
13Penalty Minutes11




















