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TBL
5-8
CBJ
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
TBL xG0.70
CBJ xG0.64
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
TBL Win%0.4
CBJ Win%99.6
1 Spike
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
TBL Deserve47.1%
CBJ Deserve52.9%
CBJ Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
48.3%Possession51.7%
30Shots on Goal31
61.0%Faceoff Win %39.0%
22Hits27
18Blocked Shots9
5Takeaways5
19Giveaways14
6Penalty Minutes6























