Back
COL
4-1
TOR
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
COL xG1.16
TOR xG1.00
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
COL Win%99.6
TOR Win%0.4
1 Spike
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
COL Deserve51.8%
TOR Deserve48.2%
COL Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
46.6%Possession53.4%
37Shots on Goal33
44.1%Faceoff Win %55.9%
14Hits28
19Blocked Shots10
3Takeaways6
17Giveaways14
6Penalty Minutes4
Live Feed
3P • 18:58Goal
M. Domi
Assists: B. McMann, E. Cowan
wrist
3P • 17:41Goal
B. Nelson
Assists: N. MacKinnon
wrist
2P • 18:53Goal
J. Drury
Assists: P. Kelly, J. Kiviranta
wrist
1P • 07:31Goal
B. Nelson
Assists: A. Lehkonen, V. Nichushkin
wrist
1P • 06:19Goal
B. Nelson
Assists: C. Makar
wrist
| Player Profile | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | SOG | HITS | BLKS | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
B. NelsonC | 3 | 0 | 3 | +3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 20:37 | |
 V. NichushkinR | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 17:04 | |
 T. MakarL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 09:56 | |
 P. KellyC | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11:29 | |
J. DruryC | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15:22 | |
 N. MacKinnonC | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 23:18 | |
 G. BrindleyC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10:32 | |
 A. LehkonenL | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 16:07 | |
 M. NecasC | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 20:57 | |
 Z. BardakovC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 06:50 | |
 J. KivirantaL | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 08:53 | |
 V. OlofssonL | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 18:12 | |
 C. MakarD | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 23:28 | |
 J. AhcanD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10:46 | |
 J. MansonD | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 20:19 | |
 S. GirardD | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:38 | |
 S. MalinskiD | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 21:09 | |
 B. BurnsD | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:50 |