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PIT
3-2
VAN
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
PIT xG0.96
VAN xG1.80
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
PIT Win%100.0
VAN Win%0.0
2 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
PIT Deserve46.2%
VAN Deserve53.8%
VAN Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
46.8%Possession53.2%
25Shots on Goal32
54.9%Faceoff Win %45.1%
27Hits25
14Blocked Shots16
2Takeaways7
18Giveaways16
4Penalty Minutes0



















