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FLA
5-1
CHI
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
FLA xG0.68
CHI xG0.49
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
FLA Win%99.6
CHI Win%0.4
4 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
FLA Deserve59.8%
CHI Deserve40.2%
FLA Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
45.3%Possession54.7%
25Shots on Goal22
53.6%Faceoff Win %46.4%
25Hits11
14Blocked Shots6
7Takeaways2
15Giveaways12
6Penalty Minutes2


















