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UTA
0-2
TBL
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
UTA xG1.26
TBL xG0.89
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
UTA Win%0.4
TBL Win%99.6
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
UTA Deserve49.8%
TBL Deserve50.2%
TBL Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
44.9%Possession55.1%
28Shots on Goal29
51.9%Faceoff Win %48.1%
18Hits18
21Blocked Shots9
5Takeaways3
10Giveaways10
19Penalty Minutes17



















