Player StatsTeam StatsStandings
BUF
7-4
TOR
Final
xG Story-Flow

Momentum Graph

BUF xG0.74
TOR xG0.94
TOR
Home
Away
BUF
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression

Chance To Win

Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%

BUF Win%99.6
TOR Win%0.4
2 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles

Deserve-To-Win

Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".

BUF Deserve47.4%
TOR Deserve52.6%
TOR Merit Lead
Positional Density

Shot Distribution

BUFTOR
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)

Team Dominance

BUF
BUF
Matchup
TOR
TOR
58.9%Possession41.1%
31Shots on Goal23
32.7%Faceoff Win %67.3%
16Hits32
13Blocked Shots20
5Takeaways8
24Giveaways11
0Penalty Minutes4

Live Feed

3P • 19:16Goal

R. Dahlin

Unassisted

wrist
3P • 14:59Goal

M. Domi

Assists: A. Matthews, B. McMann

wrist
3P • 11:33Goal

J. Quinn

Assists: R. Dahlin

wrist
3P • 00:16Goal

A. Tuch

Assists: T. Thompson, M. Samuelsson

wrist
2P • 18:17Goal

R. Dahlin

Assists: M. Samuelsson, P. Krebs

tip-in
2P • 11:17Goal

B. McMann

Assists: A. Matthews, M. Domi

wrist
1P • 18:05Goal

T. Thompson

Unassisted

wrist
1P • 13:16Goal

J. Doan

Assists: R. Dahlin

wrist
1P • 10:49Goal

A. Matthews

Assists: M. Domi, O. Ekman-Larsson

backhand
1P • 09:29Goal

R. Dahlin

Assists: R. McLeod, M. Samuelsson

wrist
1P • 07:44Goal

M. Knies

Assists: J. Tavares, M. Maccelli

wrist
Player ProfileGAPTS+/-PIMSOGHITSBLKSTOI
Z. BensonL
000+100017:02
J. ZuckerL
000003015:55
P. KrebsC
011+101011:47
J. QuinnR
101002014:21
B. MalenstynL
000+100111:54
T. KozakC
000+100611:20
R. McLeodC
011000113:36
T. ThompsonC
112+102118:57
N. OstlundC
000001118:33
A. TuchR
101+202115:44
J. DoanR
101005017:19
K. HeleniusC
000-102016:12
B. ByramD
000000022:48
M. KesselringD
000+102115:08
M. SamuelssonD
033+200421:41
O. PowerD
000-103023:02
R. DahlinD
325+207026:24
Z. MetsaD
000001008:17