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VGK
2-3
MTL
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
VGK xG0.96
MTL xG1.03
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
VGK Win%0.0
MTL Win%100.0
6 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
VGK Deserve45.8%
MTL Deserve54.2%
MTL Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
50.8%Possession49.2%
34Shots on Goal26
55.0%Faceoff Win %45.0%
24Hits24
18Blocked Shots19
4Takeaways5
12Giveaways8
8Penalty Minutes6




















