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UTA
4-3
FLA
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
UTA xG0.75
FLA xG1.21
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
UTA Win%98.6
FLA Win%1.4
3 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
UTA Deserve45.8%
FLA Deserve54.2%
FLA Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
44.0%Possession56.0%
20Shots on Goal30
58.3%Faceoff Win %41.7%
16Hits31
8Blocked Shots14
4Takeaways4
24Giveaways15
12Penalty Minutes10




















