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DAL
4-3
STL
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
DAL xG0.96
STL xG0.69
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
DAL Win%97.7
STL Win%2.3
4 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
DAL Deserve47.0%
STL Deserve53.0%
STL Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
54.8%Possession45.2%
24Shots on Goal26
51.9%Faceoff Win %48.1%
12Hits43
17Blocked Shots22
3Takeaways5
18Giveaways13
6Penalty Minutes6



















