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SJS
5-2
VAN
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
SJS xG1.15
VAN xG0.69
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
SJS Win%99.6
VAN Win%0.4
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
SJS Deserve51.9%
VAN Deserve48.1%
SJS Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
50.9%Possession49.1%
33Shots on Goal25
37.1%Faceoff Win %62.9%
17Hits30
21Blocked Shots12
2Takeaways7
17Giveaways14
15Penalty Minutes15



















