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PHI
3-5
CBJ
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
PHI xG1.10
CBJ xG0.70
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
PHI Win%0.4
CBJ Win%99.6
6 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
PHI Deserve48.0%
CBJ Deserve52.0%
CBJ Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
53.0%Possession47.0%
27Shots on Goal31
37.9%Faceoff Win %62.1%
21Hits17
12Blocked Shots18
5Takeaways5
9Giveaways12
6Penalty Minutes10






















