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PHI
3-6
BOS
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
PHI xG0.94
BOS xG0.89
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
PHI Win%0.4
BOS Win%99.6
1 Spike
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
PHI Deserve47.0%
BOS Deserve53.0%
BOS Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
57.1%Possession42.9%
36Shots on Goal27
43.4%Faceoff Win %56.6%
36Hits15
10Blocked Shots17
4Takeaways6
19Giveaways19
8Penalty Minutes12























