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CHI
2-6
PIT
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
CHI xG0.98
PIT xG1.44
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
CHI Win%0.4
PIT Win%99.6
1 Spike
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
CHI Deserve41.0%
PIT Deserve59.0%
PIT Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
38.0%Possession62.0%
20Shots on Goal45
41.4%Faceoff Win %58.6%
13Hits18
14Blocked Shots18
4Takeaways8
17Giveaways17
6Penalty Minutes8






















