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UTA
4-5
CAR
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
UTA xG0.77
CAR xG1.03
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
UTA Win%1.6
CAR Win%98.4
4 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
UTA Deserve42.1%
CAR Deserve57.9%
CAR Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
47.8%Possession52.2%
25Shots on Goal33
45.0%Faceoff Win %55.0%
28Hits23
8Blocked Shots19
5Takeaways6
24Giveaways17
10Penalty Minutes4
Live Feed
3P • 19:30Goal
J. Staal
Assists: J. Martinook, J. Chatfield
tip-in
3P • 18:33Goal
S. Gostisbehere
Assists: J. Blake, J. Slavin
snap
3P • 18:01Goal
A. Svechnikov
Assists: S. Gostisbehere, N. Ehlers
snap
3P • 07:11Goal
M. Carcone
Assists: J. McBain, K. Yamamoto
wrist
2P • 17:55Goal
J. Peterka
Assists: B. Hayton
snap
2P • 17:36Goal
S. Gostisbehere
Assists: A. Svechnikov, S. Jarvis
slap
2P • 08:24Goal
K. Yamamoto
Assists: N. DeSimone, M. Carcone
wrist
2P • 04:10Goal
K. Yamamoto
Assists: J. McBain
snap
1P • 03:04Goal
A. Svechnikov
Unassisted
snap
| Player Profile | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | SOG | HITS | BLKS | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 N. SchmaltzC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 19:14 | |
 C. KellerR | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18:11 | |
 B. TanevL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 07:25 | |
 D. ButL | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12:44 | |
 J. McBainC | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 17:21 | |
 B. HaytonC | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 14:01 | |
 L. O'BrienC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10:50 | |
M. CarconeL | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 12:52 | |
K. YamamotoR | 2 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 11:25 | |
 L. CrouseL | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 19:50 | |
J. PeterkaR | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15:43 | |
 K. StenlundC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 16:10 | |
 J. MarinoD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:42 | |
 I. ColeD | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 17:57 | |
 S. DurziD | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:32 | |
 N. DeSimoneD | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11:19 | |
 N. SchmidtD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20:44 | |
 M. SergachevD | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 24:29 |