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FLA
4-5
STL
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
FLA xG0.81
STL xG0.60
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
FLA Win%1.3
STL Win%98.7
11 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
FLA Deserve51.8%
STL Deserve48.2%
FLA Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
43.0%Possession57.0%
20Shots on Goal31
53.7%Faceoff Win %46.3%
17Hits26
20Blocked Shots8
4Takeaways5
13Giveaways11
19Penalty Minutes25






















