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TOR
2-5
SEA
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
TOR xG1.04
SEA xG0.45
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
TOR Win%0.4
SEA Win%99.6
3 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
TOR Deserve48.3%
SEA Deserve51.7%
SEA Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
57.3%Possession42.7%
31Shots on Goal22
43.1%Faceoff Win %56.9%
20Hits13
15Blocked Shots9
5Takeaways4
19Giveaways17
4Penalty Minutes6





















