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NYR
5-6
PIT
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
NYR xG0.61
PIT xG1.07
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
NYR Win%1.4
PIT Win%98.6
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
NYR Deserve47.6%
PIT Deserve52.4%
PIT Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
37.5%Possession62.5%
20Shots on Goal34
60.9%Faceoff Win %39.1%
26Hits16
14Blocked Shots12
2Takeaways5
12Giveaways12
12Penalty Minutes8





















