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CAR
3-4
WSH
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
CAR xG0.65
WSH xG1.43
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
CAR Win%0.0
WSH Win%100.0
8 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
CAR Deserve45.8%
WSH Deserve54.2%
WSH Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
45.6%Possession54.4%
22Shots on Goal42
50.0%Faceoff Win %50.0%
29Hits24
11Blocked Shots18
6Takeaways2
16Giveaways18
8Penalty Minutes4





















